Ethereum’s Netflow SMA30 Turns Deep Negative as Buying Pressure Builds

Ethereum’s 30-day netflow average stands at -40,000 ETH, indicating persistent exchange outflows and steady accumulation across the market.

Over 1.2 million ETH left exchanges in the past month, with spot ETF purchases adding to buying-driven liquidity reduction.

Sustained negative net flows have historically coincided with upward price trends, supported by reduced supply meeting consistent institutional and retail demand.

Ethereum has also seen its Netflow SMA30 hit -40,000 ETH, indicating steady outflows on exchanges, a congruent sign of buying pressure and market resilience.

Exchange Outflows Dominate Market Activity

Data from CryptoQuant shows Ethereum’s 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA30) for netflows remains in deep negative territory. As of August 12, 2025, the reading stood at -40,000 ETH. This represents an average daily outflow of 40,000 ETH from exchanges over the past month.

NetFlow measures the difference between inflows and outflows across all exchanges. Positive values indicate more ETH moving onto exchanges, often linked to potential selling activity. Negative values signal withdrawals, usually associated with accumulation or long-term holding.

The current trend shows persistent negative readings, with July alone seeing 1.2 million ETH withdrawn from exchange wallets. This sustained pattern suggests a broad market shift toward holding rather than selling.

ETF Buying Adds Fuel to Withdrawal Trend

According to the update by CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci, exchange withdrawals are not occurring in isolation. Spot Ethereum ETFs have been actively purchasing ETH, adding further pressure to exchange balances. This combined activity has amplified the pace of outflows.

As market participants have noted, it is easy to be misled by single-day headlines relating to outflows, like the 100,000 ETH withdrawn. These daily fluctuations are smoothed out using the SMA30, which gives a clearer picture of current trends in the market.

With ETF demand aligning with reduced exchange supply, market conditions have tilted toward price support. As long as the SMA30 remains negative, exchange liquidity for ETH is likely to stay constrained.

Sustained Negative Netflow Supports Price Momentum

Historical data shows that prolonged negative netflows often coincide with upward price movement, as reduced exchange supply meets steady or increasing demand. The present -40K ETH SMA30 mirrors such past conditions.

Analysts caution that the trend could shift if inflows rise, moving the SMA30 into positive territory. This would indicate increased selling pressure and potentially alter price direction.

For now, Ethereum’s market structure favors buyers, supported by both retail accumulation and institutional ETF demand. Unless the NetFlow trend reverses, this buying-driven momentum could remain in place over the short term.

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