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The ERA market has recently experienced significant fluctuations, attracting close attention from investors. The current price hovers near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with the range of $1.22 to $1.30 becoming a battleground for intense clashes between bulls and bears.
Market structure analysis shows that $1.302 is a major value anchoring point, with significant selling pressure still present above. The ranges of $1.223-$1.253 and $1.292-$1.312 are high-density trading zones, accounting for nearly 70% of the trading volume, which indicates that prices may rebound in these ranges. Meanwhile, $1.19-$1.21 and $1.33-$1.35 are low-volume trading zones, and once these ranges are broken, prices may accelerate their fluctuations.
From the perspective of momentum, buying pressure in the range of $1.22-$1.25 is slightly dominant, but the advantage is not obvious. In the past 24 hours, contract positions have decreased by 16.5%, indicating that funds are net flowing out, and the main players are still reducing positions. The market is currently in a high fluctuation consolidation phase and has not yet formed a clear bull or bear trend.
For trading strategies, investors with different risk preferences can adopt different approaches. Aggressive investors may consider taking a small long position at the current price level, setting a stop-loss at $1.19 and a target price of $1.30. Conservative investors can wait for the price to pull back to $1.22 and look for a 15-minute candlestick volume breakout signal before entering. Cautious investors can wait for the price to break through the $1.253 high-density area and then enter long only if it does not break below that level on the pullback.
However, investors need to be wary that if the support level at $1.19 is broken by a large amount of trading, bulls should immediately stop loss and may need to turn to shorting. In addition, although the funding rate is low, the open interest continues to decline, and investors should be cautious of the risk of a long squeeze.
For liquidity providers, it is recommended to conduct dual currency market making in the range of $1.22 to $1.30. This range is not only the area with the highest trading volume and lower slippage, but also has high-density zones above and below as buffers to reduce impermanent loss. However, if the price rapidly breaks above $1.33 or falls below $1.19, the strategy should be adjusted in a timely manner.
Overall, the ERA market is currently at a critical decision point, and investors need to closely follow the price trends in the range of 1.22-1.30 USD, adjusting their strategies in a timely manner based on market changes.